- Jan 14, 2014
I mean do you really expect a big news story announcing a weather prediction was wrong slightly? The last several years have been slightly above normal. 5 years ago was low.No doubt true. But that doesn't get the press that the pre-season warning gets.
It’s been about 10 years since the last true extremely active season. when the categories are only average or above or below average, you don’t reserve above or below average predictions for the truly fringe years. Maybe they should but the huge outliers are rarely definitively predicted ahead of time. It’s just seen that there is potential for it to happen. Sometimes it does, sometimes not.
it’s not like announcing these predictions make anyone panic. There could be 20 hurricanes that make landfall and still have all of them miss Orlando. We know about the storms so far in advance that people wait to panic until it’s predicted to land close. You should of course always be prepared ahead of time in case you can’t get out to get emergency items