Lighter.
I just booked 9/7-12 a few days ago and have had no problem getting every single FP+ I wanted. I've even been tweaking them and have been able to move them around. Frozen still has several times available for our Epcot day, and at MK I had plenty of Mine Train times to choose from. Now, ADRs are another matter, but that's due to free dining, not overall crowd levels, IMO. I was still able to get Sci Fi for the exact dinner time we wanted, though that was probably luck, and Crystal Palace dinner before MNSSHP, but again, probably just luck. Pickin's are definitely slim when it comes to the popular restaurants. I have found that to be the case every time we've gone during free dining though, yet we've never found attraction wait times to be bad at all.