So I just crunched ALL the numbers! Checking three resorts: POR, WL, and AKL. And 17 different permutations, including no offer, free
DDP, free QSDP w/upgrade to DDP, different percentages of discounts. And considered the possibility of an AP with the room (assuming 5% more than GP), food and merchandise discount and free photo downloads. And compared them all to my existing booking of POR without any discounts. So, here are the results (considering only the cost for me, not my sister, because she will pay for her tiks and food):
1) POR with free DDP (savings of $625 over POR base
; of course this is very pie-in-the-sky, as all rumors seem to lead to the conclusion that POR may be excluded and even if it is included, would be free QSDP not DDP)
2) POR with 20% AP RO discount (savings of $480
; now I need to decide if I will consider getting the Premier pass or not...)
3) POR with free QSDP upgraded to DDP
(savings of $435
; will just have to hope POR isn't excluded)
4) POR with 15% RO discount (savings of $275
; hmm, I guess if this is my only option, I'll consider it)
5) POR with no discounts.
Now I get into the interesting part, where I upgrade to a Deluxe. Costs more, but would probably turn trip from great trip to awesome one! And while I would love to be one of the people who can go every year, or even every other year, I know that's not realistic. So I probably won't be back to WDW for a while after this trip (although I said the same thing after I went to Hawaii in fall 2014, and I ended up going back a little over a year later)
6-10) WL or AKL with discounts
; I think I would prefer AKL over WL; both look awesome, but I figure WL is similar to Grand Californian. Will probably resort hop to see both no matter where I stay though. It is also dependent on what discount is offered at WL; right now the GP summer discount is 15% at end of August, even though it is 25% earlier in the summer; I would expect it would be similar in September, but am still including possible other values in case:
WL, 30% AP discount (increase of $30)
AKL, 30% AP disc (increase of $125)
WL, 25% AP (increase of $170)
WL, 25% disc (increase of $285)
WL, 20% AP (increase of $315)
11) WL with free DDP (increase of $365)
12) AKL w/25% disc (increase of $390)
13) WL w/20% disc (increase of $430)
14) AKL w/free DDP (increase of $500)