No, I think they will miss out on it a lot more than they could possibly comprehend. To get this back on topic (because we have drifted WAY off topic in case you haven't noticed), the city I live in, that daily reports over 500 cases diagnosed has a TOTAL of around 50 people in the hospital, and an equal number sheltering in place at home. That is less than 0.01% of the population that I could possibly interact with, and they'd have to break quarantine and I'd have to cross their path for that to happen. How much closer to zero do we need to get?
Unless you are pulling Grandma out of the nursing home to chaperone the prom, she is at zero risk. Check that, she is at far more risk in the nursing home - that's a fact, that's the problem! Over 25% of the cases and 46% of the deaths in CA have happened in nursing homes. Not saying we shouldn't do something, just saying we're not doing the RIGHT thing. We're destroying peoples livelihoods, denying kids the opportunity to be kids, and for what? To say we sacrificed? That's just dumb. How about we put every resource we have into protecting those that are most at risk instead?
An unwillingness to understand the situation is mind-numbing.
You have 500 cases diagnosed and 50 people in the hospital in your area. Has everyone in your area been tested? You focus on death and hospitilizations, but that isn't the be-all and end-all. As I think I responded to you earlier, these numbers are low in your area because you have some sort of shelter at home order.
Do you know that a lot of people that are actually positive for Covid, don't have any symptoms and haven't been tested? So, they aren't sick enough where anyone notices and aren't listed in your numbers and they aren't in the hospital. But they still have the virus and can infect a number of people every
time they go out.
If just one of these people, who don't even know they are sick, go out to the prom or to the nursing home, or the grocery store, or the hardware store, or a trillion other places, they can unknowingly infect 3 people and those 3 people infect, 3 more, etc. Look at this video.
Do you really think this virus is just popping up in these nursing homes? Someone who either was sick and didn't tell anyone, was sick but did't feel or look sick. The cases just don't spontaneously show up in a nursing home. No one is taking Grandma to the prom right now, but we still have cases in the nursing home.
Something I found that makes perfect sense.
According to Emily Landon, the chief infectious disease epidemiologist at University of Chicago Medicine, "The healthy and optimistic among us will doom the vulnerable." She acknowledged that restrictions like a shelter-in-place may end up feeling “extreme” and “anticlimactic” — and that’s the point.
“It’s really hard to feel like you’re saving the world when you’re watching Netflix from your couch. But if we do this right, nothing happens,” Landon said. “A successful shelter-in-place means you’re going to feel like it was all for nothing, and you’d be right: Because nothing means that nothing happened to your family. And that’s what we’re going for here.”
Look at this chart from Florida
https://fdoh.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/8d0de33f260d444c852a615dc7837c86
The age group with the most cases right now is 45-54. It doesn't show the death rate for that age group or any age group. So there are more people walking around in that age group infecting all of the other age groups. They may kill some grandparents, but I can guarantee you that they will kill some of them in the other age groups, too.
Every age level is at risk. You are focusing on the deaths and hospitalizations. Our medical community does not yet know, decisively, if they are developing immunity or if they can get this again. They do not yet know if the people with the most severe cases, that don't die, may have long term health issues. Are you OK with your high school kid having lung issues for the rest of their life? I'm not going to risk it until with my family until more is known.
I asked both of my 30-something daughters if they cherish their senior year of high school or would they be devastated if they had had to miss graduation. Both of them said the same thing, heck NO.
The country is trying to get things rolling but if people can't understand how the virus works, I think we are doomed. It just won't be me that does it....and I'm a Grandma!!
