We were there last night and honestly I wouldn't have guessed it was sell out crowds. Yes the crowds were heavy but definitely manageable. We just had MNSSHP tickets and our priorities were rides, tot, parade, and fireworks. We were a party of 5 with a 3 year old and 6 year old.
3:15 got on monorail to MK.
3:30 standing in line at the tapstiles
3:45 let in and went to rent a stroller. We then went to get out Sorcerers card. Chicken Little was out roaming with Gabby, so we stood around and watched that for a few minutes.
4:00 went through bypass. The lines for photopass were all longish, so we skipped them and just did the tot.
4:15 FP for Winnie the Pooh
4:30 FP for Dumbo
4:45 Into Big Top for souvenirs. No one was at the party exclusive section and the whole place was generally empty.
5:00 FP for Little Mermaid
5:15 Philharmagic
5:45 FP for IASW, did mobile ordering for Pecos Bills while waiting in line
6:00 headed over to Pecos Bills, the crowds had definitely increased by this point
6:15 got to PB, order said it was ready so we went to the mobile pick up. This was easily the longest line of the night. It took 30 minutes to get our food.
7:00 POC, stand by said 30 minutes and line was half way to JC. My party all grumbled about the line but it took exactly 11 minutes from getting in line to getting on boat. The live actors were very fun!
7:15 Bathroom break
7:30 Magic Carpets ride. Took maybe 10 minutes.
7:45 TOT at JC, the line was deceivingly long. It took less than a minute to get through and they gave lots of candy. Husband went for snacks at Aloha Isle.
7:55 TOT at country bears. Line went fast outside but was very slow once inside.
8:10 headed to main Street to stake out a spot for the parade. We ended up on the curb right in front of where the Zootopia dance party comes out, so across from the Crystal Arts store. It was a great spot. We had a nice view of the castle as the stage show went one (obviously couldn't see the show but we saw the projections).
9:05 Headless Horseman came out.
9:15 Zootopia came out.
9:30 parade made it to main Street.
10:00 Headed to the bathroom by the first aid and decided to watch the fireworks next to the trash cans in front of Casey's. It wasn't a bad spot. You could see the projections pretty well but the trees blocked the big fireworks. It was still a good show.
10:15 Pushed through the crowds to Tomorrowland.
10:30 Got in line for Lotso.
10:45 Done with Lotso
10:50 Space Ranger Spin. Posted 10 minutes wait but it was a walk on. It stopped a couple time during the ride.
11:00 ToT at Carousel of progress, it was the go go squeeze spot.
11:05 Peoplemover. Always an amazing view.
11:15 Attempted the dance party with the Monsters Inc crew but my brats were not interested.
11:20 ToT in Cosmic Ray's
11:25 Walk on to Teacups. Loved the overlay!!
11:30 Tried to get into line for Winnie the Pooh gang but the line was cut off.
11:35 ToT in Pinocchios
11:40 Peter Pan, posted wait was 10 minutes and that was accurate.
12:00 ToT in Philharmagic.
Walked back to the entrance. We could have stopped to watch the last stage show, there were a couple of spots we saw where we would have had a good view but the kids were too tired. Huge lines at the monorail, so we took the Ferry.
It was a pretty fantastic night and the only thing I didn't get to do that I wanted was HM, but we never made it back that way. We ended the night with 5 full bags of candy after only going through 6 ToT spots. A big tip to newcomers, a lot of the rides have ToT either after the ride or in the queue, so bring your bags. We never thought to bring them in line with us and missed out on some more handfuls. From what I remember: Peter Pan, Space Rangers Spin, and POC all had candy spots.