I finally closed on my BWV resale contract, after many months of looking for the right BCV contract!
I could not find a BCV with my use year & number of points, at my target price. I did, however find a fully loaded BWV contract at $110/PP - 230 Points (460 in 2023) in my use year. I jumped on it with both feet, and today my contract showed up on the DVC site (just waiting for the points to load). My strategy is to use the 11Mo. window at BWV to snatch the Standard View Studios when available. When they are not available, I will be okay with the Boardwalk or Garden/Pool Views. Those 2 latter categories are usually the same point cost as the BCV studios. So, when I can get the Standard view rooms, I can stretch our length of stay for the same amount of points. If unable to land the standard view, I'll shoot for BW View as secondary, and G/P View as tertiary. Then, when I feel like I really want to use SAB, and have that even shorter walk to EPCOT, I can try for BCV at 7 Months. I did a quick&dirty analysis, comparing my $110/PP for BWV to $130/PP at BCV (based on averages posted here and on similar blog sites). Even though the MFs are higher at BWV, because there are only 18 years of MF remaining, the TCO (Total Cost of Ownership) will still be less at BWV. (Assumed a modest 4% YOY increase in MFs). My reasoning: I know that BCV is not always available at 7 Mos., but the BWV Standard Studios are even harder(if not impossible) to get at 7 Mos. So I felt it better to save money going with BWV, and when I get Std. View at 11 Mos.I will consider it a bonus. If I can only get G/P at 11 Mos., then swapping to BCV at 7 Mos. would also be a bonus. If I wind up with BW View at 11 Mos., then I might not look to chanfe at 7Mo. I'll be happy with any of these scenarios, as we love the crescent lake location.
Am I over-rationalizing my decision, or am I a bordering on brilliance by taking BWV over BCV??