I resisted posting my guess because I knew I’d get flamed.. lol.
I’m not an alarmist and from the start of the different closures here at home and abroad since mid-March I’ve just taken things a day or two at a time, adjusting as new info comes along.
I questioned early how the Parks could safely re open during the busiest months of the year - summer break. I haven’t seen a strong enough argument yet for how that would happen - either from a profit making business standpoint or a public health standpoint. Both have to work together in order for success.
People predicted the Springs would re open first and that seemed logical until the reality of who would shop there was a thought. The locals are particularly hard hit in the Orlando area - furloughed, jobs lost or living on the supports provided by the government to stay afloat. Maybe the Springs first.. but again it has to be viable with foot traffic (guests) in order to be a business success. Businesses need to cover their operating costs and turn a profit for it to make sense.
Resorts opening will likely happen when the Parks open, not many people who are not disney diehards are going to go to WDW with the main draws closed... then try to figure out how to fill their days.
I think that between Bob Iger (the idea/logistics man) and Bob Chapek (the numbers guy) the plan that comes together will not only address the when - but it will do it in a way that covers all the necessary bases and has the vacationing public willing excitedly to take that longed for Disney vacation. Guaranteed Disney magic - I wouldn’t expect less from a company who provides magic on a grand scale all around the world in many different ways.
I wouldn’t hesitate a guess on the how... I just know that they and their teams of dreamers and doers - will get it right.
The when... late summer/fall. Magic takes time even with pixie dust flying