I know, they want such a large down payment. On the positive, I suppose it's mostly paid by the time one goes since the deposit is so large, however, it's more consistent with what I see for non-refundable hotel room rates, well maybe taking that out a stretch, but it feels like it to me. Refund of deposit less 15% up to 7 days of arrival, and less 30% up to 4 days of arrival, and beyond that they try to rebook you, so best hope that no plans change!! With kids that makes it a little nervous, but, I've gone a few times in the past and never had a change of plans, but I do worry what if someone is sick! I think we'll still plan to go one last time, mine will be aged out of this I think next year, I feel past 13 years old, I don't know, they might not be that into it.
On another note, now looking at the lodge got me considering Disney 2020 summer and Wilderness Lodge! Terrible! Not the place, but that I'm thinking of a year away already. Definitely not making any reservation there until after New Year's 2020 and see what the rates look like first.