As for the new Pavilion - yes I think by Epcot 40th we will get ONE Pavilion - there is rumors of up to 3 but I am betting only one. Gut feel is Brazil will be it.
Wow...ok...how to phrase this?
Um...I know you like the rumors everyday type thing...and I'm giving benefit of the doubt on a lot of these things...
...but how long have you been following e-rumor updates on wdwmagic, et al?
...cause "Brazil to Epcot" is one of the oldest snipe hunts in the book.
There's a few problems:
1. There's a 30 year history of countries not being added. Without access to the disney boardroom...you have to trust that the finances/business analysis of this is flawed or more likely out and out destroyed. They had spots for 9 expansions and NOTHING has happened forever. My take is blame the internet...but I might be wrong. About the reason...not the model being all but dead.
2. Brazil...if you're not a fan of economics...is in a consumer credit/financial nosedive. I know we see the flags all over the place and you think it would "make sense"...but it makes almost the least sense. That tourism is all but certain to dry up. They got credit around 1990 and have been "in college" with it ever since. Some people don't follow how awful it really is...but it did get some press with the Olympics/World Cup the last couple of years. Those Olympic facilities are already destroyed...in record time. That country is in deep trouble.
3. And my favorite: "for the 40th"...
This one gets me (as many well know). I try to be fair...but every "insider" does this. The last big "anniversary" attempt that involved capex was "100 years of magic" and those things Peaked earlier for 25 and millennium. I suppose you can say year of a million dreams was a decent attempt at event with investment...but that was already 12 years ago.
That was an Eisner strategy...and it's been abandoned.
Now...they may bother for 2021...that is the one shot you have. But for "the 40th"? That's a fool's chase. They bring Marty sklar out for a 5 minute speech and dump some water into the fountains...not a $400 mil construction project with a deadline. It is what is and that's what it has been.
If Epcot is to be funded...it's based on profit analysis and operational necessity...not calendar dates.
And on that: any reorganization that doesn't address the loss of wonders of life and imagination in futureworld lacks a ton of validity...those are losses of attractions that pulled crowds at one time and therefore have to still be compensated for if they want to pull crowds and squeeze more money out of the combined overhead costs for the park.