I agree with the other PPs, you have always talked about how much you love AKV, and I wouldn't let 1 ROFR discourage you. Also, I am not entirely sure that you'd even save $10 pp on an SSR contract. Once you start looking at individual contracts, which ones are loaded, which ones have the seller paying MF, etc. I have always thought that when/if I bought "sleep-around" points, I would pick AKV over SSR for all the reasons stated above. On top of that, you'd have a good number of points to use at AKV for value or club level rooms at 11 months, which (to me) seems to be a no brainer.
I really considered BLT - I like resorts where I can get value for my points, but there were a few reasons I eliminated it:
-While I think it's a good value, you still have to have enough money for that upfront buy-in. At current prices, I'm afraid BLT is out of my price range unless I go for a 100 point contract, which then becomes even MORE expensive.
-I haven't stayed at BLT - and in fact it's probably last on my list of resorts I want to try. Just not a fan of the style, and also the studios there are SMALL.
So, have you not tried BLT? BLT standard rooms are a great value, and you do need home resort advantage to get them, usually. But I hear you on the rising prices, because that was what pushed us to RIV over adding more to BLT! Anyway - having finally stayed in a BLT studio 2 months ago on an adults only trip with DH, I can say that the studio was a perfectly nice size for the 2 of us, and I could even see us sticking our 2 kids on the sofa bed if it meant more days at WDW than a 1BR. And the 1BR and 2BR are lovely. Given how prices all over have gone up, I agree that it's still a decent value, but not as good as it was even a couple years ago (when I think it was underpriced relative to the other MK resorts). Word seems to have gotten out.
Also, the more I stay there, the more I like it. Seems weird, but I love the fact of the monorail going through the main building even if I will never use it to get to MK. It feels very OG Disney. It's a very easy resort to be at, and there are virtually no bad views. On all 3 of our standard stays, we have had a decent fireworks view from our room.
....
all of this to say, if you're thinking about BLT, maybe see how you like it before writing it off completely.
also I seem to recall you have 1 kid, who is a teen? tween? I know it sounds somewhat impossible, but there may come a time when she won't be traveling with you any more, or she is old enough to need her own room rather than sharing a studio. As you know, Kidani and BLT are the only ones with 2 baths in a 1br and 3 baths in a 2br. Which then pushes *me* either to: 1 - more AKV so you have more flexibility at 11 mo, or a distant 2nd: a smaller BLT contract so you have a home resort covering the last park you are not close to, when you need bigger units, use 200 points every other year, and when you are ok with a studio, 100 points is plenty.