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- Jun 5, 2001
Yup, I've been waiting, I will be down on Monday!Florida was removed from Ohio’s quarantine list today.
Yup, I've been waiting, I will be down on Monday!Florida was removed from Ohio’s quarantine list today.
NY also goes by Johns Hopkins positivity rate, not Florida's DOH - Johns Hopkins is still reporting a 7 day rolling average of around 13%.
NY also goes by Johns Hopkins positivity rate, not Florida's DOH - Johns Hopkins is still reporting a 7 day rolling average of around 13%.
Ultimately I think all dashboards rely upon state DOH figures. The difference is in what they feature and how they present it. I am not familiar with Covid Now, but I know that Hopkins relies upon the COVID Tracking Project, which in turn relies upon official state figures. Hopkins shows a higher rate right now than the official Florida numbers because:I don't live in Ohio, but I live close to Ohio. We are planning a trip to South Carolina. I follow Covid Act Now, and it shows a positivity rate just over 10%. Yet the Ohio rate (I'm assuming Johns Hopkins) shows a positivity rate of 21%. Why such the discrepancy?
(Edit to add Covid Now link
https://covidactnow.org/?s=962191&utm_campaign=Daily%20Download%20%2025%20August%202020&utm_content=Daily%20Download%20%2025%20August%202020%20CID_3aea55adcbcbc9695d3202a28ba9507f&utm_medium=email&utm_source=Email%20marketing%20software
But after this last week, it's back up now to about 16% daily with a big spike on 9/1. Anyone have a guess as to why that is?
Thank you! Hopefully NY takes that into account for their quarantine list too, though I somehow doubt they willOn 8/31 there was a large dump of historical positive cases from a large lab. About 3000 or so old positives that all showed up on that day. If you look at the State report on https://floridahealthcovid19.gov before the 13th you should be able to see the footnotes on the one of the charts on the first or second page that explains it.
Thank you! Hopefully NY takes that into account for their quarantine list too, though I somehow doubt they will
Yes, if its true that the last 7 days are from a data dump that caused the 16% each day. Its showing roughly 16% for the last 7 days so I'm not sure why the data dump would impact anything beyond 9/1, but we will have to see how things go from here. And yes, FL needs to have 10% or lower as the 7 day average before it can be removed from the list. And if it exceeds that again, they go back on.Wouldn't these cases fall off after a week? After all, it's a seven day average, and these cases wouldn't count after the seventh day.
It would stink if it made a difference between Florida making and missing a list for the week you're planning on going. However, with its 13% rate, I still think Florida is making the list this week.
LOL. Well, by that theory, I think we'd actually need 11/4/2020, or at least after polls are closedThese are the numbers you have to wait for:
11
3
2020
What's your rules in CT? In NY, it has to be a 7 day rolling average of positive cases at 10% or less in order to come off the list. I keep seeing different numbers everywhere so I'm not sure what they are going by, but I've been using this database to check each week. Its updated every Tuesday: http://rochester.nydatabases.com/da...fhOkicIL-OxB9nSNG52zKK7raQ_DR0w7JEnZtehsE_QkUFlorida's numbers appear to be going down…I jut read an article this morning that showed them at about a 5% positivity rate. If these numbers continue, what are everyone'e thoughts about the travel ban being lifted by 9/29?
We live in CT and our trip is October 5th, so 9/29 is the last Tuesday before that and I guess it's decision day.
What's your rules in CT? In NY, it has to be a 7 day rolling average of positive cases at 10% or less in order to come off the list. I keep seeing different numbers everywhere so I'm not sure what they are going by, but I've been using this database to check each week. Its updated every Tuesday: http://rochester.nydatabases.com/da...fhOkicIL-OxB9nSNG52zKK7raQ_DR0w7JEnZtehsE_QkU
Its currently showing roughly 16%, but as PP pointed out, the number became inflated due to a data dump on 8/31 so its not a true number. But I'm not sure our governor considers that when determining what states can come off the list. Prior to the data dump, Florida's numbers were consistently decreasing each week which made me hopeful for our October trip.
HI, we're mid Oct. living in NY-we decided to adjust our trip-instead of Universal at the beginning of the vacation, we're going to do it at the end, over a weekend. We'll do Disney first, since we rented points, if we don't go, we lose almost $3000. The way I figured it, we'd be out of work for 3 weeks and 2 days, which includes the quarantining. Just hope my DH and my manager are ok with this! But I know how you feel with these charts all over, I watch the numbers every day, and you're correct, besides that "dump" of tests, numbers are going down, I think yesterday under 2000.
What's your rules in CT? In NY, it has to be a 7 day rolling average of positive cases at 10% or less in order to come off the list. I keep seeing different numbers everywhere so I'm not sure what they are going by, but I've been using this database to check each week. Its updated every Tuesday: http://rochester.nydatabases.com/da...fhOkicIL-OxB9nSNG52zKK7raQ_DR0w7JEnZtehsE_QkU
Its currently showing roughly 16%, but as PP pointed out, the number became inflated due to a data dump on 8/31 so its not a true number. But I'm not sure our governor considers that when determining what states can come off the list. Prior to the data dump, Florida's numbers were consistently decreasing each week which made me hopeful for our October trip.
That Rochester page is helpful, but a bit misleading. NY state has a 2-prong test for quarantine and other states pass both to get off the list:What's your rules in CT? In NY, it has to be a 7 day rolling average of positive cases at 10% or less in order to come off the list. I keep seeing different numbers everywhere so I'm not sure what they are going by, but I've been using this database to check each week. Its updated every Tuesday: http://rochester.nydatabases.com/da...fhOkicIL-OxB9nSNG52zKK7raQ_DR0w7JEnZtehsE_QkU
Its currently showing roughly 16%, but as PP pointed out, the number became inflated due to a data dump on 8/31 so its not a true number. But I'm not sure our governor considers that when determining what states can come off the list. Prior to the data dump, Florida's numbers were consistently decreasing each week which made me hopeful for our October trip.
Thanks for trying to break this down. I'm still confused because I thought the far right percentage in the Rochester database was where I should be looking for that 10% number? But it sounds like that's representative of the number of tests? Clearly math is not my strong suitThat Rochester page is helpful, but a bit misleading. NY state has a 2-prong test for quarantine and other states pass both to get off the list:
"All travelers entering New York who have recently traveled within a state with either:
• a positive test rate higher than 10 per 100,000 residents over a seven-day rolling
average; or
• a testing positivity rate of higher than a 10% over a seven-day rolling average,
will be required to quarantine for a period of 14 days consistent with the Department of Health
(DOH) regulations for quarantine."
https://coronavirus.health.ny.gov/system/files/documents/2020/06/interimguidance_traveladvisory.pdf
The official statement is IMO clear that you must quarantine if a state fails either test.
Florida's problem will be with the test positivity rate, which that Rochester database ignores, because as Florida's cases have gone down so have their daily tests. In July they tested 50-70k people daily. Now they are testing 15-25k people daily. It's hard to get the positivity rate down below 10% with such a low denominator. They could fix this by encouraging people to get tested regardless of whether the test is necessary, but they don't seem to care to do that.
With respect to tests per 100k residents, Florida is almost there. The Rochester database updates are behind. Florida's 9/8 figures were released yesterday but the database is only complete thru 9/7. By my math, when it catches up to 9/8 the 7-day figure will be down to about 12.7 as the 9/1 data dump rolls off. More optimistically, the single day 9/7 and 9/8 figures are (again by my math) 8.6 and 8.5 per 100k. Barring an uptick, Florida should meet this test within a week. But again, Florida will also have to get its positive tests as a percentage of total tests below 10% over 7-days.
If you want to check Florida's daily official figures going all the way back they are available here, and I'm pretty sure these are the same figures NY uses. They don't give the percentages or even the daily figures, but inputting the figures into a very simple spreadsheet can generate the numbers you need.
https://covidtracking.com/data/state/florida/history